A partnership between COPPE/UFRJ, Cenergia and iCS has resulted in the publication “Brazil in a well below 2° world (briefing).” This analyzes three different paths towards a zero carbon (or low-emission) Brazil in the energy and transport sectors, which are crucial to achieve the national commitments of climate protection. The analyzed paths were: the expected emissions of CO2 and up to 2050, based on the current indications of energy consumption and land use policies; what needs to be done between 2010 and 2050 for the country to contribute to the target of 2 °C of the Paris Agreement; and the path to be followed, in the same period, for the target of 1.5 °C of average increase of temperature to be achieved by the end of the century.
“The idea of the study was to identify where there are barriers and opportunities to arrive at a world with much less warming than we are producing today. The nature of the scenarios are not forecasts; they serve as an exercise of what needs to happen, for example, to reach a future with an average increase of temperature of 1.5 °C. To identify these barriers, we need to start from a certain reality and try to indicate where it is important to produce lower emissions,” says Roberto Kishinami, coordinator of the energy portfolio at iCS.
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